Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.240656 0.331927 0.433972 0.554238 0.690096 0.837093 1.006560
2025-07-06 0.127644 0.243247 0.391124 0.582444 0.814211 1.078636 1.396704
2025-07-13 0.082795 0.207395 0.383585 0.625245 0.929619 1.286441 1.724494
2025-07-20 0.051437 0.177359 0.374827 0.660243 1.031500 1.476093 2.030369
2025-07-27 0.036958 0.167974 0.390312 0.723278 1.165349 1.701679 2.376484
2025-08-03 0.022988 0.151652 0.391297 0.763910 1.268911 1.889425 2.677032
2025-08-10 0.009764 0.124996 0.370303 0.770076 1.325243 2.017388 2.904606
2025-08-17 0.000645 0.084991 0.316807 0.722924 1.306756 2.049213 3.013452
2025-08-24 NaN 0.051966 0.264065 0.669443 1.274539 2.059965 3.093480
2025-08-31 NaN 0.034687 0.236373 0.650876 1.287401 2.125923 3.239531
2025-09-07 NaN 0.025989 0.225595 0.658351 1.335894 2.237205 3.441388
2025-09-14 NaN 0.016785 0.207725 0.651289 1.362096 2.318501 3.605124
2025-09-21 NaN 0.008270 0.184514 0.634219 1.375920 2.387601 3.759643
2025-09-28 NaN 0.006866 0.190015 0.670967 1.470761 2.565840 4.054304
2025-10-05 NaN 0.006310 0.199480 0.715144 1.576606 2.758608 4.367194
2025-10-12 NaN 0.005348 0.205823 0.753218 1.673359 2.939432 4.665254
2025-10-19 NaN 0.006636 0.226944 0.820531 1.814708 3.180397 5.040226
2025-10-26 NaN 0.006089 0.235927 0.863967 1.919881 3.372904 5.353669
2025-11-02 NaN 0.003350 0.226597 0.870533 1.968649 3.489412 5.570173
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000178 0.190940 0.820189 1.928128 3.484054 5.629910
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.155104 0.762958 1.873419 3.457089 5.660058
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.137701 0.743058 1.875822 3.506969 5.788026
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.132517 0.751072 1.922924 3.618575 5.996103